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Is Colombian Economic Growth Set to Flop?

4 Over the last couple of years we have read all about the growing affluence of South America/Latin The us with an array of countries like Brazil, Mexico and Republic of Colombia coming to the fore. Often the automatic assumption is that this abundance will be evenly spread throughout the region when in reality this isn’t always the case.

There are now growing worries about the short to medium-term outlook of the Colombian financial system and the fact that the government could be sitting back and enjoying the actual recent increase in economic exercise.

Forecast Colombian economic growing for 2013

The official predicted for economic growth around Colombia is currently 4. 8% which has caught the attention of your variety of economic think storage containers in the region. Indeed while this several. 8% target is identified as “mediocre” there is a growing sense that it is potentially out of the get to of the Colombian economy for a while. The main worry seems to be centered round a delay in several infrastructure projects and the proven fact that the government has caved in popular public support regarding various pension and well being reforms which experts trust the country cannot afford.

Many people will see it surprising to learn that this government has in effect bowed to popular support in a rustic which has been seen by several as ruthless in the past few years. The various health and pension reforms will ultimately cost the particular Colombian government a significant amount of cash as well as increasing the debt stress on the country.

Infrastructure plans

As the Colombian economy started to grow a few years ago that immediately became obvious the country needed to improve it has the infrastructure for the best returns. This specific allowed the Colombian administration to introduce an array of multi billion-dollar projects which will assist in helping employment in the region, attracting foreign investment and also filling up typically the order books of neighborhood companies. These projects are already mentioned time and time again over the last number of years and while many of them have commenced, some of them have been delayed and the like are running behind schedule.

The higher the infrastructure within Republic of colombia the more this will attract in a different country investment and ultimately our economy will benefit. A growing economic system will obviously attract expats from all corners with the globe thereby increasing often the multicultural nature of the region, bringing in new markets along with new skills and changing the actual Colombia from years ago.

Community determination

While investment inside infrastructure will almost certainly reap beneficial rewards in the medium in order to longer term the decision to successfully cave in to public thoughts and opinions regarding pension and well-being reforms has not gone down as good. The government needs to run a limited ship, the government needs to keep control of the budget and in the end all taxpayers money must be invested into any job with the aim of a substantial returning in the longer term.


The required forecast economic growth of 2013 is around 4. 8% despite the fact that a number of experts believe this is certainly likely to come in somewhere better 4%. In isolation the particular lower estimate of 4% is far better than just about any European counterparts could ever optimism. However , when you bear in mind sites such as Peru are set to supply 6% growth in 2013, perhaps the Colombian government has to work harder and emphasis more on the short term?

Republic of Colombia is a country which was for quite some time blacklisted by expats world wide, it was ignored by global investors and the official fiscal data released by prior governments was often untrustworthy. We have seen a major alter over the last few years, international buyers are now viewing Colombia by very different lenses and the chance of growth in the medium to be able to longer term is there for all to view.

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